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I think the 20,000 by October thing is conservative. They have to allow for a slow ramp up to ensure that quality is there and there's nothing getting screwed up. The last thing GM wants is 20,000 brand new model cars getting recalled because a robot had a missed calibration causing it to miss a weld causing your transmission to blow up after 5000 miles. They also have to allow for constraints at their suppliers, particularly early on because they'll be doing the same thing (for new stuff). They want to make sure they can get ALL of those 20,000 ordered cars to dealers by the date they set. People would much rather get their cars early than late!
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