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Old 08-10-2009, 06:22 PM   #9
camaroguyBC
 
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Drives: 1SS Blk/Blk w CGM M6
Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: Cedar Rapids, IA
Posts: 93
Quote:
Originally Posted by BalogUK View Post
true, but the scary part is what sampling we "50" actually represent...only a small percentage of camaro's are represented on Camaro5, you know? so that 50, may be representative of 435 cars (one day's build--ie, last Monday's Holiday) if Oshawa is now one day behind, that's going to make a wave that affects every week to come, unless they up production to accommodate the shift. the answer will come tomorrow if we see 8/10 TPW folks receiving VINS...
Well...this site has ~15,000 registered members. The last production numbers posted on this site (through July) said approx 35,000 camaros have been produced.

So...if we assume that every single registered member on this site actually purchased a 2010 camaro, that has already been built, to this point, each person here represents about 2.3 actual cars. In that frame of mind, 50 unbuilt cars on this site would = ~115 unbuilt cars across the world, or 1/4 of a work day.

Given that that's likely a gross undercalculation in all senses of the word, it's quite likely that those 50 camaro5 members who have yet to receive vins equals far more than 115 worldwide, and likely even far more than the 400 or so built in a "regular production day."

At some point it seems to suggest that, in order to remain "on target" for their production numbers, GM will have to A) expand daily production or B) skip a week of new targets to allow them to catch up. C) reduce the number of tpws significantly for a week to catch up. Failing to do any one, the cascading wave of delayed productions would eventually put entire weeks of tpws behind schedule.

also...given that there were a fairly significant number of 7/27 (though far less than 50 it seemed) builds that spilled over to 8/4 and beyond, the compounding of the delay is already beginning.
__________________
1100: 06/29/09
2000: 07/07/09
3000:07/17/09 TPW 8/3
3300:07/28/09
3400:08/01/09
3800:08/11/09 #34541
4200:08/12/09
--8/12/09 11:30am - departed Oshawa CSX
--8/13/09 11:04pm - arrived at CSX/UP Interchange - Proviso, IL - 200 miles to go!
--8/17/09 7:30pm - departed Proviso, IL
--8/18/09 5:15am - received at interchange, unloaded (11:04am), Janesville, WI
5000: 8/19/09
6000: 8/20/09
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